I'm going on the assumption that these teams are using the versions of their respective characters from the time period of the pics, so the X-Men would be without Cyttorak-enhanced Colossus, and Commander Rogers would use his energy shield and guns.
Commander Rogers is one Hell of a tactician, but since this is a heroes vs heroes battle, he'll hold back some. That means he's probably have Nova hold back some. He'd probably have Nova and Warmachine take out Psylocke and the X-Men's teleporters as quickly as they can before solidifying their air dominance against Arc Angel. He'd probably have Valkyrie occupy Colossus until Nova and Warmachine have defeated their respective targets. Beast and Moon Knight would be tasked with occupying X-23 while they can.
Wolverine is ruthless, but I don't see him ordering the X-Men to kill the Secret Avengers, so he'd hold back too. One of his weaknesses as a leader seems to be that he prefers to take responsibility himself when he should delegate. He'd probably take the fight right to Commander Rogers by himself. He also lets his personal feelings get in the way far to often, so he might coddle X-23 a bit too much. Sometimes he has problems controlling his people, so he probably wouldn't be able to stop Colossus from coddling Magik (that is Magik in the lower right-hand corner, right?) or stopping X-23 from trying to tank a blast from Nova or some other suicidal thing that she believes is tactically sound. To the X-Men's credit, they have teleporters, whom Wolverine would probably use to take out Moonknight and Beast quickly by dropping them from high enough to break their legs, because Wolverine is nothing if not merciful, lol. Psylocke would probably take some initiative and psy-blast who she can, but not Nova because of his helmet (...if I recall correctly... someone help me out here), and not Commander Rogers because Wolverine would want to handle him personally. Colossus, besides being a powerhouse unto himself, could help counter the Secret Avenger's air dominance with Wolverine and a fastball special.
I think Commander Rogers is the better leader than Wolverine, but the X-Men's danger room-honed training make them a little better at thinking on their feet. I think Nova's power-level (plus immunity to psychic attack) and Commander Roger's superior leadership would win the day for the Secret Avengers.
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