Dexter almost all rounds, here's why.
Round 1: Hannibal easily figures out Dexter is a sociopath..but then what? I can't think of anything short of poisoning Dexter unknowingly, that Hannibal can do to take him down, even if he surprise attacks, Dex is a better combatant from what I've seen (Hannibal struggled in taking down that killer musician in season 1, and that guy was a violinist!!) Dexter trains his body to be near perfect and is a great fighter.
Round 2: Same as round 1 really, Hannibal finds Dexter (a bit harder this time) but I doubt he can actually put him down.
Round 3: Maybe, /maybe/ Dexter can figure out who Hannibal is, but it'll be tough since Hannibal has no real record, the most I can see Dex doing is tracking down potential victims and seeing who they all have in common, and maybe figure out it's Hannibal, then again, the guy is really good at covering his tracks.
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